Purdue vs Oregon St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4
Purdue vs Oregon St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

The Purdue Boilermakers (1-1) visit Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers (2-1) on Sep. 21 in Corvallis, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT.

Oregon St is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Purdue vs. Oregon State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Purdue vs Oregon State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 65.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Oregon St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Purdue vs Oregon State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 66.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.05 Units / 32% ROI)

  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 27% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Purdue players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Purdue Player Prop Bets Today

  • Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Hudson Card has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.15 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Hudson Card has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Hudson Card has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Max Klare has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Oregon State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Ben Gulbranson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ben Gulbranson has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Purdue is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Purdue is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Purdue is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Purdue is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon St is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Oregon State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Oregon State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Oregon State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Purdue is winless (0-7) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .325

Purdue is 4-6 (.364) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 37th-worst in FBS; Average: .517

Purdue is undefeated (4-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .467

Purdue is 3-8 (.273) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .391

Oregon State is 5-4 (.556) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .407

Oregon State is 5-1 (.625) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .393

Oregon State is 7-2 (.636) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .526

Oregon State is 15-5 (.652) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .529

Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 455 attempts since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.1% of attempts since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Oregon State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.3% of 75 attempts this season — T-9th-worst among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.1% of attempts this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

  
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