The Baylor Bears (2-1) visit Folsom Field to take on the Colorado Buffaloes (2-1) on Sep. 21 in Boulder, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Colorado is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Baylor vs. Colorado Over/Under is 52 total points.
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Baylor vs Colorado Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Colorado will win this game with 52.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Baylor and Colorado, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Baylor vs Colorado Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Baylor Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Baylor has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Colorado Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Colorado has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Colorado have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Baylor players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Baylor Player Prop Bets Today
- Dominic Richardson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Sawyer Robertson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Richard Reese has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hal Presley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Sawyer Robertson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 51% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Colorado players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colorado Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jimmy Horn Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Shedeur Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Shedeur Sanders has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Travis Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Charlie Offerdahl has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Baylor is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Baylor is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Baylor is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Colorado is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 12.27% ROI
- Colorado is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Colorado is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Baylor is winless (0-5) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Baylor is winless (0-10) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .346
Baylor is 1-7 (.083) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .417
Baylor is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .386
Colorado is 1-13 (.071) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .399
Colorado is 2-7 (.222) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Colorado is 3-18 (.143) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .392
Colorado is 2-18 (.100) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .412
Colorado’s QBs has thrown for 4,505 passing yards in 15 games (300.3 YPG) since the 2023 season — 10th-best among FBS teams. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 204.3 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
Colorado’s TEs has 3 receptions in 2 games (just 1.5 per game) this season — 5th-worst among P5 TEs. Baylor’s defense has allowed just 7.0 receptions per game this season — best among FBS defenses.