The Bowling Green Falcons (1-1) visit Kyle Field to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (2-1) on Sep. 21 in College Station, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-110).
The Bowling Green vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Bowling Green and Texas A&M, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Bowling Green vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bowling Green will cover the spread with 89.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Bowling Green Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+12.70 Units / 93% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+11.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.65 Units / 77% ROI)
Texas A&M Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Texas A&M have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Texas A&M have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Bowling Green players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bowling Green Player Prop Bets Today
- Harold Fannin Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Terion Stewart has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas A&M players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas A&M Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Le’Veon Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Conner Weigman has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Conner Weigman has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Conner Weigman has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaylen Henderson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bowling Green is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Bowling Green is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Bowling Green is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI
- Bowling Green is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI
Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas A&M is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI).
- Texas A&M is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -16.39% ROI
- Texas A&M is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
- Texas A&M is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
Bowling Green is 1-3 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Bowling Green is 4-1 (.500) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .343
Bowling Green is 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Bowling Green is 10-2 (.667) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .541
Texas A&M is 2-10 (.167) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .496
Texas A&M is 5-3 (.625) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 25th-best in FBS; Average: .407
Texas A&M is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
Texas A&M is 2-9 (.182) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
Texas A&M’s TEs has gained 97 yards on 6 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among SEC TEs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed 17.0 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-6th-worst among FBS defenses.
Texas A&M’s TEs has 6 receptions in 3 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — T-2nd-worst among SEC TEs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 13.5 receptions per game this season — 21st-best among FBS defenses.