Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 24
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 24

The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5

The Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 83-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 72-75 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.55 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 56 away games (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 59 of his last 107 games (+10.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+11.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)

Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Peralta 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Peralta 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Francisco Mejia 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Harold Ramirez 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 -115 0.5 -120

Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Peralta 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drew Rasmussen 4.5 -105 4.5 -140
Alek Manoah 4.5 -165 4.5 +120

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 56 away games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+3.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.70 Units / 7% ROI)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 63 games at home (+8.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+1.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 64-85 against the Run Line (-25.9 Units / -14.57% ROI).

  • 83-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.8 Units / -8.73% ROI
  • 76-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -0.73% ROI
  • 70-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.55 Units / -8.74% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 72-75 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -1.74% ROI).

  • 83-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -1.07% ROI
  • 67-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -6.75% ROI
  • 73-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -1.19% ROI

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .218 (331 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .242 (22-for-91) against Alek Manoah on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .160 (81-for-505) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .253 (128 Total Bases / 505 ABs) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .409 — 100th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Drew Rasmussen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 88% (42/48) of opposing batters this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .635 (81 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 1.031 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .268 (94-for-351) against Drew Rasmussen in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .216 (16-for-74) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 99th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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