The James Madison Dukes (2-0) visit Kenan Stadium to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (3-0) on Sep. 21 in Chapel Hill, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
North Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The James Madison vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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James Madison vs North Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 76.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both James Madison and North Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
James Madison vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 68.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record
James Madison is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- James Madison is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 37.04% ROI
- James Madison is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
- James Madison is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI
North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Carolina is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -51.11% ROI).
- North Carolina is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 10.53% ROI
- North Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- North Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
James Madison is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .419
James Madison is undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .524
James Madison is 8-1 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .343
James Madison is 8-1 (.667) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .382
North Carolina is 6-1 (.857) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .370
North Carolina is 6-1 (.857) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .441
North Carolina is 6-3 (.667) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .497
North Carolina is 8-4 (.615) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .480
North Carolina has gained 509 yards on 47 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — T-34th-worst among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina’s TEs has gained 1,214 yards on 88 receptions (13.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.