The Ball State Cardinals (1-1) visit Kramer/Deromedi Field at Kelly/Shorts Stadium to take on the Central Michigan Chippewas (1-2) on Sep. 21 in Mount Pleasant, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT.
C Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Ball State vs. Central Michigan Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
Bet now on C Michigan vs Ball State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Ball State vs Central Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Central Michigan will win this game with 69.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ball State and C Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Ball State vs Central Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Central Michigan will cover the spread with 61.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on C Michigan vs Ball State and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
Ball State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ball State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Ball State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Central Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Central Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+1.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.95 Units / 29% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ball State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ball State Player Prop Bets Today
- Qian Magwood has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Central Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Central Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jesse Prewitt III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Chris Parker has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Ball State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ball State is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Ball State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 66.67% ROI
- Ball State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Ball State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
C Michigan is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -3.08% ROI).
- Central Michigan is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -100% ROI
- Central Michigan is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
- Central Michigan is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
Ball State is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .506
Ball State is winless (0-3) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .241
Ball State is 1-7 (.125) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .426
Ball State is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
Central Michigan is 3-9 (.250) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .391
Central Michigan is 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
Central Michigan is 3-6 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Central Michigan is 3-9 (.214) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .392