The Pittsburgh Pirates (+165) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-200) on Wednesday, September 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Pirates are 71-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 77-74 ATS.
Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jake Woodford 0-6, 7.93 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 13-9, 3.76 ERA
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 29 games (+18.50 Units / 64% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+12.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.90 Units / 136% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 111% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games at home (+23.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+12.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Strikeouts Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 112 games (+9.02 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 66 away games (+7.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 74 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+0.73 Units / 3% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+8.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+6.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 80-71 against the Run Line (+3.93 Units / 2.01% ROI).
- 71-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.02 Units / -6.25% ROI
- 72-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -5.81% ROI
- 74-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.22 Units / -2.56% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 77-74 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -2.57% ROI).
- 76-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -4.75% ROI
- 69-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.17 Units / -9.18% ROI
- 76-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.15% ROI
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has walked 54 of 443 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .159 (24-for-151) against Luis Ortiz versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 99th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed a BABIP of .205 vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .288 — 97th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.4 MPH in the 2023 season (287 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 58% (195 SO in 338 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .107 (34-for-318) against Sonny Gray with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an OBP of just .160 (338 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .323 (338 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — 100th Percentile.