The Detroit Tigers (-135) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+115) on Wednesday, September 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Tigers are 79-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 85-67 ATS.

Tigers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 16-4, 2.51 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 8-8, 4.55 ERA

Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Colt Keith has hit the Hits Over in his last 16 away games (+17.85 Units / 57% ROI)
• Wenceel Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 away games (+16.50 Units / 150% ROI)
• Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+12.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
• Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+12.25 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 47 games (+18.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 37 games (+17.55 Units / 47% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+12.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+10.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• Tommy Pham has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 65 games (+21.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 16 games (+17.60 Units / 110% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 games (+17.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 16 games (+16.00 Units / 77% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 away games (+11.35 Units / 26% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games at home (+12.64 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 39 of their last 75 games at home (+9.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 75 games at home (+8.90 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+7.59 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.50 Units / 39% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 82-70 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 2.19% ROI).

• 79-73 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 2.22% ROI
• 74-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -1.74% ROI
• 70-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.45 Units / -6.97% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 85-67 against the Run Line (+8.88 Units / 4.33% ROI).

• 82-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 3.83% ROI
• 67-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.4 Units / -11.75% ROI
• 79-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 2.75% ROI

Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .123 (19-for-154) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has 52 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .116 (45-for-388) against Tarik Skubal with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 95th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .329 (410 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — 98th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alec Marsh has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Alec Marsh has walked 4 of 116 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 20% (2/10) against Alec Marsh in his last start — 4th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Alec Marsh has allowed an OPS of 1.090 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — sixth Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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