The Atlanta Braves (-150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Wednesday, September 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Braves are 81-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 86-66 ATS.

Braves vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 6-7, 3.74 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Jakob Junis 4-0, 2.75 ERA

Braves vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 35 games (+24.10 Units / 39% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 away games (+21.70 Units / 155% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jorge Soler has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+12.30 Units / 65% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 37 games (+26.95 Units / 73% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 49 games (+11.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 137 games (+33.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 away games (+13.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 away games (+8.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.65 Units / 20% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 78 of their last 134 games (+15.25 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games at home (+14.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games at home (+7.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 61 games (+6.65 Units / 10% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 69-82 against the Run Line (-16.9 Units / -9.22% ROI).

• 81-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.25 Units / -9.94% ROI
• 57-89 when betting on the total runs Over for -39.8 Units / -24.14% ROI
• 89-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +26.1 Units / 15.58% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 86-66 against the Run Line (+11.4 Units / 5.63% ROI).

• 74-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.75 Units / -2.1% ROI
• 71-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -6.01% ROI
• 73-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -3.12% ROI

Reds vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (15/56) against Spencer Schwellenbach this month (3 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 12% (2/16) against Spencer Schwellenbach in his last start — tied for lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has a first-pitch strike rate of 83% (19/23) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 63% — 97th Percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a walk in his last 119 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 12nd — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jakob Junis has a first-pitch strike rate of 75% (160/214) this season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.

30 of Jakob Junis’ breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since the 2022 season — most among NL Relievers; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has walked 7 of 215 batters (3%) this season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has walked 28 of 582 batters (5%) since last season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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