The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+115) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Phillies are 90-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 79-71 ATS.
Phillies vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 15-6, 2.62 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 7-10, 4.49 ERA
Phillies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+14.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+13.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 24 away games (+11.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 46 games (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 50 games (+32.40 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+20.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+17.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Frankie Montas has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 24 games (+8.70 Units / 36% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 58 games (+18.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 91 games (+14.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 60 away games (+7.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.25 Units / 27% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 77 of their last 146 games (+13.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 87 of their last 150 games (+12.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 games at home (+11.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games at home (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 73-77 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -3.7% ROI).
- 90-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 1.19% ROI
- 70-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -6.59% ROI
- 73-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -2.67% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 79-71 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 2.24% ROI).
- 87-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.65 Units / 6.57% ROI
- 78-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.8 Units / 6.59% ROI
- 62-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -24 Units / -14.45% ROI
Brewers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Brewers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Brewers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Brewers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Frankie Montas (MIL) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .196 (326 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .156 (48-for-308) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .430 (327 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .667 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .150 (35-for-234) against Zack Wheeler versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has struck out 50% (10/20) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .100 (4-for-40) against Frankie Montas in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .083 (2-for-24) against Frankie Montas in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .214 — 98th Percentile.
Frankie Montas has walked 4 of 20 left-handed batters (20%) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.