The New York Mets (+115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-135) on Sunday, September 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Mets are 80-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 73-74 ATS.
Mets vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 9-2, 2.99 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 10-9, 3.30 ERA
Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Starling Marte has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- David Peterson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Luis Torrens has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- David Peterson has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 away games (+8.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- Luis Torrens has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+7.55 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games at home (+12.70 Units / 115% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+10.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.65 Units / 50% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 74-73 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -0.86% ROI).
- 80-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 2.13% ROI
- 72-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -1.92% ROI
- 68-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.1 Units / -6.4% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 73-74 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -2.09% ROI).
- 89-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 1.91% ROI
- 69-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.8 Units / -6.66% ROI
- 72-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -2.7% ROI
Phillies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Phillies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tyrone Taylor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Phillies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Weston Wilson (PHI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Phillies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (NYM) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.1 MPH on the 163 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 50% (82/163) against David Peterson on breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has walked 37 of 329 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
David Peterson has allowed an OBP of .372 (586 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .306 — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (128/205) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (301/511) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 50% (352/698) against Cristopher Sanchez with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 51% (226/445) against Cristopher Sanchez with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.