Lions vs. Buccaneers best bets, picks and odds

When: Sunday, September 15, 2024 at 1:00 p.m. ET
Where: Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan
TV Info: FOX
Live stream: Watch on Fubo!

The Detroit Lions (1-0) play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0) at Ford Field on Sunday, September 15, 2024. We have best bets recommendations for you.

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Best against the spread pick

Pick ATS: Buccaneers (+7.5)
Against the spread, Detroit went 12-5-0 last year.
The Lions won once ATS (1-2) as a 7.5-point favorite or more last season.
Tampa Bay covered the spread 11 times in 17 games last year.
The Buccaneers covered every time (2-0) as underdogs of 7.5 points or more last year.

Pick OU: Over (51.5)
The Lions and their opponents combined to score more than 51.5 points in eight of 17 games last season.
The Buccaneers and their opponents combined to score more than 51.5 points in three of 17 games last season.
The teams combined to score 47.6 points per game last season, 3.9 fewer points than this matchup’s total.
Combined, these teams surrendered 42.3 points per contest last year, 9.2 fewer points than the over/under for this game.
Lions matchups last season had an average point total of 47.0, 4.5 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
The Buccaneers had a 41.3-point average over/under in their matchups last year, 10.2 fewer points than this game’s point total.

Moneyline: Lions (-375), Buccaneers (+290)
Prediction:
Lions 28 – Buccaneers 23
Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Lions’ implied win probability is 78.9%.
Detroit put together an 11-3 record in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 78.6% of those games).
The Lions had a 2-1 record last year (winning 66.7% of their games) when they played as a moneyline favorite of -375 or shorter.
Tampa Bay was an underdog in 11 games last season and won five (45.5%) of those contests.
Last season, the Buccaneers were at least a +290 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.

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