The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) on Friday, September 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Brewers are 84-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 76-70 ATS.

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 10-8, 3.83 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 2-2, 5.77 ERA

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 46 games (+28.70 Units / 62% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 47 games (+19.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+17.45 Units / 55% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+15.80 Units / 62% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+13.10 Units / 58% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 47 games (+40.25 Units / 86% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 43 games (+18.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+17.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+13.55 Units / 27% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 75 of their last 142 games (+12.15 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 84 of their last 146 games (+10.25 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 146 games (+9.45 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 81 of their last 146 games (+6.49 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 66% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 90 games (+32.05 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 89 games (+23.90 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 81 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.10 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 75-71 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.24% ROI).

• 84-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 5.44% ROI
• 76-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.95 Units / 6.24% ROI
• 61-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.8 Units / -14.1% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 76-70 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -0.67% ROI).

• 82-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.15 Units / 7.69% ROI
• 84-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.7 Units / 12.8% ROI
• 57-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -35.15 Units / -22.01% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 30% (160 SO in 530 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 61% (851/1,385) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .211 (101-for-478) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (7/34) against Freddy Peralta this month (2 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez since last season is 384.2 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 398.5

Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 2.29 (98.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .165 (15-for-91) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .271 — 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez in the 2023 season was 381.5 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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