The Miami Marlins (+145) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-175) on Thursday, September 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Marlins are 54-92 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 81-64 ATS.

Marlins vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Darren McCaughan 0-0, 7.40 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 7-9, 4.46 ERA

Marlins vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jonah Bride has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 37 games (+31.00 Units / 84% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+17.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+15.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+15.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+14.25 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jacob Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games at home (+17.00 Units / 142% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+13.45 Units / 22% ROI)
• CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.10 Units / 37% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.85 Units / 60% ROI)
• Mitchell Parker has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+9.30 Units / 61% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 68 away games (+15.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 119 games (+14.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 away games (+7.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 games (+6.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 78 of their last 137 games (+9.85 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 137 games (+6.60 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games at home (+6.05 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 71 games (+5.30 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 68-78 against the Run Line (-31.11 Units / -16.34% ROI).

• 54-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.7 Units / -12.27% ROI
• 79-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.25 Units / 7.59% ROI
• 61-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.85 Units / -15.55% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 81-64 against the Run Line (+5.93 Units / 3.09% ROI).

• 65-80 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 2.18% ROI
• 69-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -3.95% ROI
• 69-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.82 Units / -4.86% ROI

Nationals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Darren McCaughan has allowed an OBP of .556 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .302 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 20% (8/40) against Darren McCaughan on the first pitch of at-bats this month (2 games) — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 33% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .467 (7-for-15) against Darren McCaughan when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .234 — third Percentile.

Darren McCaughan has allowed an OPS of 1.289 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at lea st 3 total IP; League Avg: .696 — ninth Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (118/418) against Mitchell Parker since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (41/287) against Mitchell Parker on elevated fastballs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (7/28) against Mitchell Parker this month (2 games) — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — fifth Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has 36 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 7th most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
Read Full Article