Brewers vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 11
Brewers vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 11

The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-150) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Brewers are 83-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 71-74 ATS.

Brewers vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 12-4, 3.72 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 2-3, 3.62 ERA

Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 48 games (+26.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+18.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+15.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+13.75 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.95 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 48 games (+32.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 49 games (+16.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+14.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 48 games (+11.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.95 Units / 27% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 74 of their last 140 games (+12.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 144 games (+11.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 83 of their last 144 games (+10.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 81 of their last 144 games (+9.04 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+7.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 68 games at home (+6.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 62 of their last 113 games (+4.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 68 games at home (+3.20 Units / 4% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 74-70 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 0.56% ROI).

  • 83-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 5.51% ROI
  • 75-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.1 Units / 6.43% ROI
  • 60-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.8 Units / -14.28% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 71-74 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -4.92% ROI).

  • 71-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -7.24% ROI
  • 73-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.5% ROI
  • 66-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -9.03% ROI

Giants vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Gary Sanchez (MIL) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Giants vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jackson Chourio (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Giants vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Patrick Bailey (SF) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Giants vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Colin Rea (MIL) 4.5 -115 4.5 -110
Blake Snell (SF) 7.5 +115 7.5 -150

Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .124 (12 Total Bases / 97 ABs) on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .376 — 100th Percentile.

Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 18% (45 SO in 243 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (270/1,115) against Colin Rea this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — fourth Percentile.

Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 17% (21 SO in 124 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .168 (62-for-368) against Blake Snell when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 99th Percentile.

Blake Snell has allowed a slugging percentage of just .183 (69 Total Bases / 377 ABs) on breaking pitches since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (288/760) against Blake Snell with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (765/2,050) against Blake Snell since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

  
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