The Cincinnati Reds (+115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-135) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Reds are 71-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 72-72 ATS.
Reds vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson 0-0, 2.25 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 6-4, 4.04 ERA
Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 away games (+25.50 Units / 170% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 42 games (+20.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+13.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games at home (+30.50 Units / 122% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+15.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+15.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+13.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+13.05 Units / 37% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 128 games (+14.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 75 of their last 131 games (+11.60 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 away games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 67 of their last 130 games (+6.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.25 Units / 36% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 74 games (+5.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+5.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+2.65 Units / 8% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 82-64 against the Run Line (+10.5 Units / 5.42% ROI).
- 71-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -3.04% ROI
- 67-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -7.41% ROI
- 71-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -1.9% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 72-72 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -4.25% ROI).
- 72-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -5.66% ROI
- 68-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -6.04% ROI
- 70-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -3.27% ROI
Cardinals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Luken Baker (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Cardinals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cardinals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Williamson (Cin) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Lance Lynn (STL) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (9/56) against Brandon Williamson over the last 14 days — 8th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 28% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 13% (4/31) against Brandon Williamson on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has induced opposing hitters to ground into 15 double plays in 86 opportunities (17%) since last season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.
Brandon Williamson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (14/31) this month (2 games) — 15th lowest among among 140 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 62% — 10th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 74% of Lance Lynn’s pitches in the zone (2,509/3,400) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has a strike rate of just 61% (960/1,584) in two strike counts since last season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 64% — ninth Percentile.
24 of Lance Lynn’s 89 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 95th Percentile.
30 of Lance Lynn’s 139 breaking pitch strikeouts (22%) have been backdoor since the 2022 season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 92nd Percentile.