The Tampa Bay Rays (+180) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-225) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Rays are 71-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 72-73 ATS.

Rays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 2-3, 3.28 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 14-6, 2.61 ERA

Rays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 67.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+22.10 Units / 201% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
• Jonny Deluca has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.20 Units / 66% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+9.15 Units / 15% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+14.70 Units / 163% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+12.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 47% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 85 of their last 142 games (+23.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 77 of their last 136 games (+12.45 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 74 games (+11.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+10.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 53 away games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games (+13.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 64 games at home (+12.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+12.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games at home (+12.00 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 63 games at home (+11.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 74-71 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -2.27% ROI).

• 71-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -6.26% ROI
• 66-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.35 Units / -9.04% ROI
• 74-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 1.06% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 72-73 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -2.07% ROI).

• 87-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 1.07% ROI
• 68-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -6.64% ROI
• 71-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -2.73% ROI

Phillies vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 21% (3/14) against Shane Baz in his last start — tied for 5th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — seventh Percentile.

Shane Baz has walked 3 of 22 batters (14%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (3/14) against Shane Baz this month (1 games) — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 41% — sixth Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .125 (2-for-16) against Shane Baz this month (1 games) — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 92nd Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .161 (48-for-299) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .202 (317 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (33/208) against Zack Wheeler this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .150 (34-for-226) against Zack Wheeler versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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