Nevada vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3
Nevada vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

The Nevada Wolf Pack (1-2) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (1-1) on Sep. 14 in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Minnesota is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The Nevada vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 44 total points.

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Nevada vs Minnesota Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 84.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Nevada and Minnesota, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Nevada vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 66.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 13 games (+7.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (+2.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)

  • Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Nevada players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nevada Player Prop Bets Today

  • Brendon Lewis has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Minnesota players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Minnesota Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Max Brosmer has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Darius Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jordan Nubin has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Max Brosmer has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 45% ROI)

Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nevada is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI).

  • Nevada is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 16.39% ROI
  • Nevada is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
  • Nevada is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 45.45% ROI).

  • Minnesota is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Minnesota is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -50% ROI
  • Minnesota is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 45.45% ROI

Nevada is winless (0-7) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .255

Nevada is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .389

Nevada is 1-4 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .508

Nevada is 2-10 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .425

Minnesota is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .294

Minnesota is winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .420

Minnesota is winless (0-7) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .406

Minnesota is 1-7 (.111) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .353

  
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