The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (1-1) visit Ross-Ade Stadium to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (1-0) on Sep. 14 in West Lafayette, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Notre Dame is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Notre Dame vs. Purdue Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Notre Dame vs Purdue Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 81.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Notre Dame and Purdue, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Notre Dame vs Purdue Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Notre Dame Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+2.25 Units / 3% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in their last 2 games at home (+2.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Notre Dame players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Notre Dame Player Prop Bets Today
- Riley Leonard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- Mitchell Evans has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Steve Angeli has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jayden Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jeremiyah Love has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Purdue players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Purdue Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Max Klare has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Notre Dame is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI).
- Notre Dame is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 130% ROI
- Notre Dame is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
- Notre Dame is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Purdue is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Purdue is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Purdue is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Notre Dame is 8-3 (.727) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 17th-best in FBS; Average: .407
Notre Dame is 9-3 (.692) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .525
Notre Dame is 7-2 (.583) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .417
Notre Dame is 9-1 (.818) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .606
Purdue is winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .327
Purdue is 4-6 (.364) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 36th-worst in FBS; Average: .517
Purdue is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .407
Purdue is 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .508
Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 11.0 receptions per game this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 11.0 receptions per game this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.