The Memphis Tigers (2-0) visit Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium to take on the Florida State Seminoles (0-2) on Sep. 14 in Tallahassee, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Florida St is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Memphis vs. Florida State Over/Under is 52 total points.
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Memphis vs Florida State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Florida State will win this game with 65.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Memphis and Florida St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Memphis vs Florida State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 65.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Memphis Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Memphis have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
Florida State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Memphis players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Memphis Player Prop Bets Today
- Roc Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Demeer Blankumsee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Florida State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Roydell Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Lawrance Toafili has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Malik Benson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Memphis is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Memphis is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 9.52% ROI
- Memphis is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Memphis is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida St is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -100% ROI).
- Florida State is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -100% ROI
- Florida State is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Florida State is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Memphis is undefeated (6-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .495
Memphis is 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .404
Memphis is 7-1 (.875) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .418
Memphis is undefeated (7-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .425
Florida State is undefeated (9-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .417
Florida State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .419
Florida State is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .433
Florida State is undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .417
Florida State has gained 193 yards on 19 receptions (just 10.2 YPR) this season — T-26th-worst among FBS skill players. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.
Florida State’s WRs has gained 120 yards on 11 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among ACC WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 8.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.