The Colorado Rockies (+230) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-275) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Rockies are 53-90 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 74-68 ATS.

Rockies vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 4-7, 5.34 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 10-7, 3.77 ERA

Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 69.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+20.10 Units / 80% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+14.10 Units / 71% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.50 Units / 52% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 48 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Willy Adames has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 50 games (+29.30 Units / 59% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+18.90 Units / 40% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+18.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+14.75 Units / 66% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+11.00 Units / 35% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 107 games (+6.05 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 19 away games (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 74 of their last 138 games (+14.40 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 82 of their last 142 games (+12.15 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 142 games (+12.10 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 58 games at home (+11.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+9.20 Units / 29% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 70-73 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -9.03% ROI).

• 53-90 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -6.14% ROI
• 68-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.1 Units / -7.12% ROI
• 72-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -1.82% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 74-68 against the Run Line (+3.45 Units / 1.85% ROI).

• 82-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 6.68% ROI
• 75-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.2 Units / 7.87% ROI
• 58-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.8 Units / -15.76% ROI

Brewers vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .480 (12-for-25) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .396 (84-for-212) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .424 (28-for-66) against Kyle Freeland in late innings since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (70 Total Bases / 105 ABs) on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .375 — first Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 30% (157 SO in 521 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 62% (836/1,354) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fifth Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 59% (524/894) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .210 (99-for-472) against Freddy Peralta when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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