The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-160) on Friday, September 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 79-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-70 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 9-7, 4.32 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 13-6, 3.11 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Diamondbacks vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 22 games (+44.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+20.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+15.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 games (+14.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+14.20 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 44 games (+35.80 Units / 81% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+16.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+12.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+11.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 57 of their last 85 games (+29.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 84 games (+22.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 37 away games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 73 of their last 123 games (+20.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 82 games (+15.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 67 games (+10.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 73-68 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -0.86% ROI).
- 79-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 7.29% ROI
- 80-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.75 Units / 11.36% ROI
- 56-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.75 Units / -20.6% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 70-70 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 1.52% ROI).
- 75-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -4.6% ROI
- 55-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.3 Units / -21.79% ROI
- 81-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.05 Units / 12.9% ROI
Astros vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Astros vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Astros vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has walked 8 of 243 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (14/21) against Brandon Pfaadt in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an OBP of just .247 (243 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .281 (64-for-228) against Brandon Pfaadt when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — eighth Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (240/399) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 34% (124/365) against Framber Valdez this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (928/2,222) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has allowed an OPS of just .561 (773 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — 100th Percentile.