The Charlotte 49ers (0-1) visit Kenan Stadium to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (1-0) on Sep. 7 in Chapel Hill, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
North Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -22.5 (-105).
The Charlotte vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Charlotte vs North Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Charlotte vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Charlotte will cover the spread with 89.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Charlotte and North Carolina and key player performances this season.
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Charlotte Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Charlotte is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Charlotte is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Charlotte is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Charlotte is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Carolina is 0-0 against the spread this college football season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- North Carolina is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 76.92% ROI
- North Carolina is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- North Carolina is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Charlotte is winless (0-13) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2022 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .429
Charlotte is 4-18 (.182) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .447
Charlotte was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2023 season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: .450
Charlotte is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .505
North Carolina is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .556
North Carolina is 9-5 (.562) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– T-14th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .380
North Carolina is 12-5 (.632) when not losing a fumble since the 2022 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .500
North Carolina is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .567
North Carolina’s TEs gained 917 yards on 66 receptions (13.9 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among ACC TEs. Charlotte’s defense allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina’s RBs averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch last season — T-25th-worst among FBS RBs. Charlotte’s defense allowed 9.9 RAC to RBs last season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.