The Duke Blue Devils 1-0 visit Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium to take on the Northwestern Wildcats 1-0 on Sep. 6 in Evanston, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.
Northwestern is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Duke vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 36.5 total points.
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Duke vs Northwestern Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Duke vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 60.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Duke and Northwestern and key player performances this season.
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Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Duke was 0-1 against the spread last college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Duke was 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 13.63% ROI
- Duke was 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Duke was 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Northwestern was 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 68.97% ROI
- Northwestern was 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Northwestern was 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Duke is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .556
Duke is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .567
Duke is 14-5 (.636) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .535
Duke is 12-5 (.632) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .536
Northwestern is 1-10 (.091) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .441
Northwestern is 3-11 (.214) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .447
Northwestern is 3-8 (.273) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Northwestern is 5-13 (.278) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– 15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Northwestern gained 2,345 yards on 222 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) last season — T-17th-worst among FBS skill players. Duke’s defense allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s offense threw for 2,361 passing yards in 12 games (just 196.8 YPG) last season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Duke’s defense allowed 218.6 passing yards per game last season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.