Pirates vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 3
Pirates vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 3

The Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+115) on Tuesday, September 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Pirates are 64-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 68-70 ATS.

Pirates vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 8-2, 2.23 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 5-5, 3.09 ERA

Pirates vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+22.90 Units / 164% ROI)
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Yasmani Grandal has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christian Bethancour has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+27.00 Units / 270% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 47 games (+20.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+17.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+16.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+14.15 Units / 107% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 98 games (+13.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 46 away games (+1.50 Units / 3% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 51 games (+12.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.85 Units / 33% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 75-62 against the Run Line (+8.46 Units / 4.74% ROI).

  • 64-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -6.23% ROI
  • 66-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -4.44% ROI
  • 66-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.67 Units / -3.79% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 68-70 against the Run Line (-13.25 Units / -7.08% ROI).

  • 71-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 0.94% ROI
  • 64-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -7.92% ROI
  • 69-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -0.86% ROI

Cubs vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Ian Happ (CHC) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100

Cubs vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Cubs vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Rowdy Tellez (PIT) 0.5 +195 0.5 -250

Cubs vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Skenes (PIT) 6.5 -130 6.5 +100
Kyle Hendricks (CHC) 3.5 -105 3.5 -125

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 39% (44 SO in 112 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 47% (29 SO in 61 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has struck out 34% (69/201) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has thrown fastballs 69% of the time (551/804) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 99th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

  
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