The Colorado Rockies (+280) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-350) on Tuesday, September 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Rockies are 51-87 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 63-74 ATS.

Rockies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 4-6, 5.55 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 15-3, 2.61 ERA

Rockies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 67.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Michael Toglia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 away games (+23.50 Units / 94% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+14.20 Units / 80% ROI)
• Michael Toglia has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+14.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+13.60 Units / 66% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.60 Units / 58% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 34 games (+23.20 Units / 68% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+15.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.10 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 away games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 102 games (+4.70 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 102 games (+2.65 Units / 2% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 78 of their last 123 games (+32.50 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.70 Units / 8% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 68-70 against the Run Line (-14.85 Units / -8.8% ROI).

• 51-87 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -7.33% ROI
• 68-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.5 Units / -3.66% ROI
• 67-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -5.19% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 63-74 against the Run Line (-14.2 Units / -8.56% ROI).

• 74-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.15 Units / -9.22% ROI
• 51-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -37.05 Units / -24.79% ROI
• 81-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +24.65 Units / 16.2% ROI

Braves vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .635 (132 Total Bases / 208 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: .374 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .424 (28-for-66) against Kyle Freeland in late innings since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 95 of Kyle Freeland’s 490 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 19%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .455 (20-for-44) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

29 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .252 (52 Total Bases / 206 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .221 (74 Total Bases / 335 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 45% (47 SO in 105 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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