Pirates vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 2
Pirates vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 2

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-145) on Monday, September 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Pirates are 63-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 68-69 ATS.

Pirates vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 5-7, 3.89 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 9-8, 3.88 ERA

Pirates vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pirates vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+22.90 Units / 164% ROI)
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jared Jones has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 85% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christian Bethancour has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+27.00 Units / 270% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 46 games (+19.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+16.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+15.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+14.25 Units / 51% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 97 games (+12.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 61 away games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 away games (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games at home (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 58% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 74-62 against the Run Line (+7.46 Units / 4.22% ROI).

  • 63-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -7.07% ROI
  • 65-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -5.13% ROI
  • 66-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.57 Units / -3.08% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 68-69 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -6.58% ROI).

  • 71-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 1.81% ROI
  • 63-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.05 Units / -8.64% ROI
  • 69-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.13% ROI

Cubs vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Ian Happ (CHC) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Cubs vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nico Hoerner (CHC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Cubs vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +195 0.5 -250
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Isaac Paredes (CHC) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Cubs vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jameson Taillon (CHC) 4.5 -160 4.5 +120
Jared Jones (PIT) 5.5 -120 5.5 -110

Jared Jones has struck out 31% (62/198) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Jared Jones has an average spin rate of 2538.5 RPM on fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 2236.2 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .168 (17 GB hits out of 101 GBs) against Jared Jones this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.

Jared Jones has allowed an OBP of just .250 (252 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 95th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 8% of batters they faced (22/263 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of 69% (2,482/3,592) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 6 of 263 right-handed batters (2%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (112/1,000 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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