Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 1
Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 1

The Toronto Blue Jays (+155) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-190) on Sunday, September 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Blue Jays are 67-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 64-71 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 1-6, 4.85 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 12-6, 4.06 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 42 games (+33.85 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+15.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 42 games (+12.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+11.35 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 26 games (+24.50 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+14.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+14.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Edouard Julien has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games at home (+13.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+13.85 Units / 27% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 50 away games (+14.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 70 away games (+5.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 54% ROI)

  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 63 games at home (+12.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.35 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 59 games (+4.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 115 games (+4.25 Units / 3% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 68-70 against the Run Line (-13.65 Units / -7.31% ROI).

  • 67-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -6.6% ROI
  • 73-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 3.82% ROI
  • 61-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.8 Units / -13.11% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 64-71 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -5.51% ROI).

  • 73-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -2.48% ROI
  • 69-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 2.21% ROI
  • 60-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.25 Units / -10.99% ROI

Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Matt Wallner (MIN) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Daulton Varsho (TOR) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Willi Castro (MIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Twins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Royce Lewis (MIN) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Max Kepler (MIN) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Carlos Santana (MIN) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) 4.5 -160 4.5 +125
Bailey Ober (MIN) 5.5 -110 5.5 -120

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (36/181) against Yariel Rodriguez this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

Yariel Rodriguez has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 10th — Bobby Miller has the longest active streak at 9.

Yariel Rodriguez has walked 31 of 282 batters (11%) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (22/79) against Yariel Rodriguez’s curve and slider this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (42/138) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .535 (54 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .143 (31-for-217) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (128/379) against Bailey Ober this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

  
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