The Kansas City Royals (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Sunday, September 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Royals are 75-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 69-67 ATS.

Royals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh 7-7, 4.70 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 9-6, 3.14 ERA

Royals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 away games (+23.00 Units / 209% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• Nick Loftin has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 68% ROI)
• Nick Loftin has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 55% ROI)
• Nick Loftin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.30 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 42 games (+37.80 Units / 90% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+17.75 Units / 55% ROI)
• Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+16.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+12.70 Units / 46% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+12.35 Units / 25% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 away games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 133 games (+7.99 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 71 of their last 119 games (+21.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 78 games (+17.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 63 games (+14.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 76-61 against the Run Line (+4.39 Units / 2.36% ROI).

• 75-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.1 Units / 5.26% ROI
• 63-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.5 Units / -8.4% ROI
• 69-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -0.6% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 69-67 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 2.61% ROI).

• 74-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -2.91% ROI
• 53-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.1 Units / -22.28% ROI
• 79-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.35 Units / 13.48% ROI

Astros vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alec Marsh has walked 4 of 103 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.

Alec Marsh has allowed a slugging percentage of .559 (147 Total Bases / 263 ABs) versus the top of the order since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .436 — fourth Percentile.

The average home run distance against Alec Marsh this season is 411.1 feet — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 398.3

Alec Marsh has allowed an OPS of .841 (333 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .701 — fourth Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .135 (26-for-193) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.

Ronel Blanco has walked 24 of 221 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .143 (36-for-251) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .190 (98-for-515) against Ronel Blanco this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 98th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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