The San Diego Padres (-125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+105) on Sunday, September 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Padres are 77-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 67-68 ATS.

Padres vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 12-10, 3.58 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 7-6, 3.61 ERA

Padres vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• David Peralta has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 29 games (+24.50 Units / 84% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+13.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+12.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+11.90 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+17.90 Units / 256% ROI)
• Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+9.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games (+14.35 Units / 17% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 69 away games (+14.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+12.95 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+9.30 Units / 34% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 81 of their last 132 games (+26.00 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 126 games (+15.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+12.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games (+8.20 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 62 games (+4.25 Units / 6% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 70-68 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 2.38% ROI).

• 77-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 1.39% ROI
• 75-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.35 Units / 5.54% ROI
• 61-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.4 Units / -14.63% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 67-68 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -4.14% ROI).

• 67-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -6.23% ROI
• 61-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -15 Units / -10.14% ROI
• 70-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 2.18% ROI

Rays vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .274 (638 PAs) this season — ninth best among qualified SPs– 87th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .155 (33-for-213) against Dylan Cease when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .194 (140-for-723) against Dylan Cease when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has struck out 35% (116/329) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .199 (106-for-533) against Ryan Pepiot since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 98th Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of just .207 (25 Total Bases / 121 ABs) on elevated fastballs since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .384 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .148 (13-for-88) against Ryan Pepiot’s elevated fastball this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .216 — 93rd Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of just .182 (16 Total Bases / 88 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .367 — 99th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

  
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