The Pittsburgh Pirates (+125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-150) on Sunday, September 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Pirates are 63-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 67-69 ATS.
Pirates vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 11-8, 3.88 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Alex Cobb 1-1, 4.50 ERA
Pirates vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pirates vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+22.90 Units / 164% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+10.75 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+21.00 Units / 105% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+18.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+14.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+11.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 96 games (+14.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 58 games (+10.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 44 away games (+3.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games at home (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games at home (+9.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 63 games at home (+8.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 74-61 against the Run Line (+9.11 Units / 5.2% ROI).
- 63-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -6.47% ROI
- 65-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.65 Units / -4.44% ROI
- 65-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.57 Units / -3.78% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 67-69 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.27% ROI).
- 77-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.22 Units / 4.72% ROI
- 66-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -2.43% ROI
- 63-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.55 Units / -6.41% ROI
Guardians vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
Guardians vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Guardians vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Alex Cobb (CLE) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of .549 (113 Total Bases / 206 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — first Percentile.