The Toronto Blue Jays (+130) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-155) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Blue Jays are 66-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 64-70 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 13-9, 3.73 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 1-1, 3.00 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 40 games (+35.85 Units / 90% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+15.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+13.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 40 games (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+25.50 Units / 102% ROI)
• Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+15.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+15.30 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.25 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 49 away games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 69 away games (+6.00 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.45 Units / 8% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 62 games at home (+13.85 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 68 games (+11.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 114 games (+5.70 Units / 3% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 58 games (+5.30 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.35 Units / 46% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 67-70 against the Run Line (-14.65 Units / -7.92% ROI).

• 66-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -7.38% ROI
• 72-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.75 Units / 3.18% ROI
• 61-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.7 Units / -12.47% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 64-70 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -4.95% ROI).

• 73-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -1.73% ROI
• 68-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 1.54% ROI
• 60-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.15 Units / -10.32% ROI

Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .330 (29-for-88) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — first Percentile.

Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 57% of the time (650/1,147) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of .733 (817 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 16th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .048 (3-for-62) against Jose Berrios with two-strikes this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 100th Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zebby Matthews has walked 2 of 62 batters (3%) this month (3 games) — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.

Zebby Matthews has allowed three-ball counts to 13% of batters they faced (8/62 PA’s) this month (3 games) — 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 91st Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

  
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