We’re coming upon a great time of year. Football season is around the corner and postseason baseball is just a few weeks away. It’s a very exciting time in sports, but I think I’ve found 2 player prop bets today that I might be even more excited about.
Brady Singer (KC) over 2.5 earned runs allowed (-135)
Brady Singer has had a phenomenal season thus far, but negative regression is inevitable. At the All-Star break, Singer's xERA was nearly 2 runs higher than his ERA. That indicates he's been extremely lucky and he's due for a few poor starts. Statistics don't lie because Singer appears to be in the midst of his negative regression. He's allowed 4 earned runs and 8 hits or more in 3 of his last 4 starts. During those 4 outings, Singer allowed a .358 batting average with a .276 xBA and a 43% hard-hit rate. He's starting to come back to reality at a rapid rate, and it should only get worse against an Astros team that just scored 10 runs yesterday in Philadelphia. Between his elevated ERA on the road and struggles in the last month or so, I'm expecting the Astros to tag him early for at least 3 runs.