Royals vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 29
Royals vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 29

The Kansas City Royals (+135) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-160) on Thursday, August 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Royals are 75-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 67-66 ATS.

Royals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 9-9, 3.38 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 11-7, 3.75 ERA

Royals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 48 games (+23.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+15.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+15.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+12.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 36 games (+11.30 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 41 games (+38.80 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+16.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Hunter Brown has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.35 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 49% ROI)

  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+12.05 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games (+11.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 130 games (+10.59 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)

  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 69 of their last 116 games (+20.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 75 games (+15.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 60 games (+11.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+7.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 75-59 against the Run Line (+6.99 Units / 3.87% ROI).

  • 75-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 7.12% ROI
  • 62-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -7.83% ROI
  • 67-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -1.16% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 67-66 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.37% ROI).

  • 71-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -4.57% ROI
  • 52-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -32 Units / -22% ROI
  • 77-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.55 Units / 13.26% ROI

Astros vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Astros vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Alex Bregman (HOU) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Astros vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Astros vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brady Singer (KC) 4.5 -155 4.5 +115
Hunter Brown (HOU) 5.5 -105 5.5 -120

Brady Singer allowed a batting average of just .201 vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 85th Percentile and .298 vs left-handed batters this season (worst among qualified SPs)– second Percentile.

Brady Singer has allowed a just .290 SLG vs right-handed batters (fourth best)– 95th Percentile and .492 vs left-handed batters this season (third worst among qualified SPs)– sixth Percentile.

Brady Singer has allowed an OBP of .354 (492 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — third Percentile.

Brady Singer has thrown his slider 43% of the time (568/1,332) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .353 (269 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% (12/38) against Hunter Brown on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Brown has a strikeout rate of 36% (51 SO in 143 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 88th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .282 (59-for-209) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — seventh Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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