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Shohei Ohtani already made history by reaching the 40-homer, 40-steal plateau in fewer games than any other player to achieve the elusive feat. Now he looks to become the first member of the 50/50 club. We're tracking his odds to go yard or steal a base each day until the end of the season.
While Ronald Acuna Jr. was on his way to putting together the first-ever 40/70 season last year, many wondered whether we would ever see a more impressive statistical feat combining home runs and steals. Well, that didn't take long.
Ohtani is looking to one-up Acuna by recording the first 50/50 campaign in MLB history. He sits at 41 home runs and 40 steals with 30 games to go, and he's the overwhelming MLB MVP odds favorite.
Will the megastar hit another bomb, steal a base, or do both on Wednesday against the Baltimore Orioles, or will Corbin Burnes and Co. shut him down?
Shohei Ohtani home run odds today
MLB odds via our best MLB betting sites | ?? = best available odds | ?? = worst available odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +285 ?? | +320 ?? | +310 | +300 | +310 |
We're also tracking Aaron Judge's home run odds each day as he chases a milestone of his own, and if you're following along with us, you'll see how much longer Ohtani's are.
In fact, these +320 odds at FanDuel are offering very good value based on Ohtani's projections. They're associated with just a 23.81% implied probability that Ohtani goes yard, which feels fair against Burnes and the Orioles.
Ohtani has fairly even home/road home run splits this season, but he absolutely dominates right-handers compared to southpaws.
Shohei Ohtani stolen base odds today
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +210 | +240 ?? | +200 ?? | +215 |
Unfortunately, we're not seeing the same value on Ohtani's stolen base prop on Wednesday. These +240 odds are short for my liking, and we're seeing value on the Under.
However, if you do want to bet on Ohtani to steal on Wednesday, it should be noted that Orioles catcher Adley Rutschman has allowed the sixth-most stolen bases among catchers this season (67). His 15 successful caught-stealing are the 10th-most.
Will Ohtani homer or steal today?
As mentioned, we're getting great value on this number. Based on Ohtani's projections, we see we're, in fact, getting better than 21% positive expected value.
Pinnacle, which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry, has an Ohtani homer priced at +297 after opening at +309, showing us that there's at least some sharp money on our side.
Bet on Ohtani to make it 42 homers on Wednesday.
Best odds: +320 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 23.81%
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Why are you still reading this? Go bet on the home run at FanDuel!
Best odds: +320 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 23.81%
Shohei Ohtani stats & facts
| Games | 129 |
| Home runs | 41 |
| Stolen bases | 40 |
| RBIs | 94 |
| Runs | 101 |
| Average | .294 |
| OBP | .379 |
| SLG | .614 |
| fWAR | 6.3 |
Ohtani has 41 home runs entering play on Aug. 28.
Ohtani last homered on Aug. 24 against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Ohtani is projected to finish with 49 home runs.
Ohtani has 40 stolen bases entering play on Aug. 28.
Ohtani last stole a base on Aug. 23 against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Ohtani is projected to finish with 46 steals this season.
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