The Florida Atlantic Owls 0-0 visit Spartan Stadium to take on the Michigan State Spartans 0-0 on Aug. 30 in East Lansing, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Michigan State is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Florida Atlantic vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Florida Atlantic vs Michigan State Prediction:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this game with 79.4% confidence.
Florida Atlantic vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida Atlantic and Michigan State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Florida Atlantic Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+3.50 Units / 63% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Florida Atlantic have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+0.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Michigan State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Montorie Foster Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jaron Glover has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Florida Atlantic Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Florida Atlantic was 4-7 against the spread last college football season (-3.65 Units / -27.86% ROI).
- Florida Atlantic was 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -50.51% ROI
- Florida Atlantic was 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Florida Atlantic was 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.6 Units / -12.17% ROI).
- Michigan State was 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -26.28% ROI
- Michigan State was 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Michigan State was 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Florida Atlantic is winless (0-10) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .312
Florida Atlantic is 5-14 (.263) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– T-30th-worst in FBS; Average: .448
Florida Atlantic is 3-14 (.176) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .402
Florida Atlantic is 5-15 (.250) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .409
Michigan State is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .465
Michigan State is 8-2 (.727) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .630
Michigan State was winless (0-5) when not forcing a fumble in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .426
Michigan State is 2-9 (.182) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– 17th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
Michigan State’s WRs had just 138.8 receiving yards per game last season — 35th-worst among FBS WRs. Florida Atlantic’s defense allowed 248.1 receiving yards per game last season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Michigan State had just 195.3 receiving yards per game last season — 34th-worst among FBS skill players. Florida Atlantic’s defense allowed 248.1 receiving yards per game last season — 27th-worst among FBS defenses.