The Philadelphia Phillies (-125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Phillies are 74-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 73-55 ATS.

Phillies vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 10-5, 2.89 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 9-8, 3.18 ERA

Phillies vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+12.15 Units / 23% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+11.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+24.25 Units / 49% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 42 games (+16.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+13.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+12.20 Units / 18% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 away games (+13.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+11.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 63 of their last 113 games (+9.70 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 111 games (+5.35 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 78 games (+4.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 65 games at home (+13.99 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+12.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 65 games at home (+12.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 65 games at home (+12.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 18% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 63-65 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -3.34% ROI).

• 74-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -2.17% ROI
• 59-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -8.36% ROI
• 64-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -0.89% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 73-55 against the Run Line (+10.29 Units / 5.98% ROI).

• 72-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 7.35% ROI
• 58-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -9.42% ROI
• 65-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 0.53% ROI

Royals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (229/382) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (131/226) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .145 (8-for-55) against Ranger Suarez’s elevated fastball this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .216 — 95th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 62% (3,282/5,295) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brady Singer allowed a batting average of just .192 vs right-handed batters (fifth best)– 94th Percentile and .289 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– fourth Percentile.

Brady Singer has thrown his slider 56% of the time (372/660) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Brady Singer has allowed an OBP of .356 (483 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — sixth Percentile.

Brady Singer has allowed an OPS of just .512 (262 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 98th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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