The Philadelphia Phillies (+115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Friday, August 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Phillies are 74-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 72-55 ATS.

Phillies vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-4, 5.79 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 10-6, 3.35 ERA

Phillies vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+11.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 35 games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+11.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 34% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+10.40 Units / 14% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+22.90 Units / 48% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 41 games (+17.05 Units / 42% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+15.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+10.95 Units / 38% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 21 away games (+14.00 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+10.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 63 of their last 112 games (+10.70 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 110 games (+6.50 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 77 games (+5.65 Units / 7% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games at home (+12.49 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 64 games at home (+11.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 64 games at home (+11.05 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 63-64 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -2.24% ROI).

• 74-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -1.69% ROI
• 58-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.8 Units / -9.14% ROI
• 64-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.07% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 72-55 against the Run Line (+8.79 Units / 5.14% ROI).

• 71-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 6.8% ROI
• 57-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -10.22% ROI
• 65-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.36% ROI

Royals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have chased just 177 of Taijuan Walker’s 845 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (120/519) against Taijuan Walker this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 35% (301/852) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 61% (2,359/3,862) since last season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fifth Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Wacha has a strike rate of just 62% (623/1,011) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .176 (32-for-182) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 93rd Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (885/1,845) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 40 of Michael Wacha’s 239 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 17%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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