The Cincinnati Reds (+130) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-155) on Thursday, August 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Reds are 62-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 71-55 ATS.
Reds vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 9-5, 4.63 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 7-2, 2.30 ERA
Reds vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 40 games (+33.80 Units / 85% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 37 games (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+23.90 Units / 141% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+10.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 109 games (+12.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 away games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 112 games (+7.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.95 Units / 28% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 87 games (+18.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 64 games (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games at home (+5.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 82 games (+4.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 71-56 against the Run Line (+8.65 Units / 5.14% ROI).
- 62-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -3.61% ROI
- 59-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -7.14% ROI
- 62-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -2.4% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 71-55 against the Run Line (+13.46 Units / 8.24% ROI).
- 59-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -6.15% ROI
- 59-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -7.42% ROI
- 63-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.22 Units / -0.89% ROI
Pirates vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -1600 |
Pirates vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Pirates vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Pirates vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Paul Skenes (PIT) | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .401 (411 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 0 Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has a strike rate of just 59% (783/1,323) in two strike counts since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has a strike rate of just 58% (318/546) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (240/546) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 39% (39 SO in 101 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (37/72) this month (3 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Paul Skenes has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (483/706) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 99th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .299 (55 Total Bases / 184 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .409 — 93rd Percentile.