The Boston Red Sox (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-125) on Saturday, August 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Red Sox are 64-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 66-57 ATS.
Red Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 10-5, 5.00 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 1-5, 6.33 ERA
Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 away games (+31.80 Units / 133% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+16.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 away games (+14.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+14.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+29.10 Units / 194% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 29 games (+22.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+14.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+14.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 games (+13.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 78 games (+23.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 57 away games (+15.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 57 away games (+11.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 62 of their last 121 games (+8.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 114 games (+17.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 76 games (+16.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 108 games (+12.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+2.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 56-65 against the Run Line (-17.3 Units / -10.77% ROI).
- 64-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 0.51% ROI
- 64-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.3 Units / 6.22% ROI
- 51-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.8 Units / -14.14% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 66-57 against the Run Line (+17.75 Units / 12.46% ROI).
- 72-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 0.93% ROI
- 68-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.25 Units / 15.17% ROI
- 44-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.15 Units / -23.07% ROI
Orioles vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Triston Casas (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Orioles vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (177/295) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (29/80) against Brayan Bello on sliders this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (211/353) against Brayan Bello in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .335 (108-for-322) against Brayan Bello when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game