The Kansas City Royals (+110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-135) on Saturday, August 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Royals are 67-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 69-53 ATS.
Royals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 9-6, 3.52 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 9-4, 4.05 ERA
Royals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 36 games (+22.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+20.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 37 games (+12.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 29 games (+11.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+11.60 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 35 games (+29.80 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 31 games (+14.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+10.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 118 games (+9.39 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 104 games (+14.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games at home (+11.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 106 games (+10.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+7.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 72 games (+6.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 68-54 against the Run Line (+5.79 Units / 3.53% ROI).
- 67-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.85 Units / 5.77% ROI
- 55-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.9 Units / -10.49% ROI
- 63-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 1.57% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 69-53 against the Run Line (+10.15 Units / 6.27% ROI).
- 60-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -3% ROI
- 55-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -14 Units / -10.39% ROI
- 62-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 0.9% ROI
Reds vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ty France (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Reds vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Reds vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Nick Lodolo (CIN) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (166/355) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 28% of Michael Wacha’s breaking pitches (98/355) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 37 of Michael Wacha’s 227 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 16%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (252/522) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .395 (403 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 26% (19/74) against Nick Lodolo on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (229/525) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .175 (18 Total Bases / 103 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 48 total IP; League Avg: .403 — 100th Percentile.