The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-135) on Wednesday, August 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Cubs are 59-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 59-61 ATS.

Cubs vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 8-6, 3.53 ERA
• Guardians starting pitcher: Alex Cobb 0-1, 8.31 ERA

Cubs vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Cubs vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 50 games (+33.70 Units / 67% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 42 games (+21.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+19.75 Units / 62% ROI)
• Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+13.10 Units / 109% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 49 games (+60.50 Units / 123% ROI)
• Will Brennan has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+13.45 Units / 91% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+9.40 Units / 47% ROI)
• Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+9.05 Units / 14% ROI)
• Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.95 Units / 40% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 60 of their last 109 games (+10.50 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+4.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 29% ROI)

Guardians Best Bets Today:

• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 120 games (+14.47 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games at home (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 52 games at home (+2.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 59-62 against the Run Line (-15.35 Units / -9.16% ROI).

• 59-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -2.47% ROI
• 53-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.5 Units / -13.12% ROI
• 64-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 4.36% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 59-61 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -0.57% ROI).

• 71-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.47 Units / 9.41% ROI
• 58-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -2.11% ROI
• 55-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -6.69% ROI

Guardians vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Guardians vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jameson Taillon has not walked any of the 48 batters that he has faced this month (2 games) — tied for best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 34 of 737 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 91st Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has not walked any of the 48 batters that he has faced this month (2 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .434 (300 Total Bases / 691 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — eighth Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (554/925) against Alex Cobb since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (16/104) against Alex Cobb with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (154/272) against Alex Cobb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 42% of the time (447/1,060) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

  
Read Full Article