The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-130) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Cubs are 59-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 59-60 ATS.
Cubs vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 5-3, 3.26 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Cubs vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 49 games (+34.70 Units / 71% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 41 games (+23.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+20.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+18.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 49 games (+12.10 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 games at home (+61.50 Units / 246% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+12.45 Units / 101% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 108 games (+9.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+3.05 Units / 10% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 119 games (+13.47 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 52 games at home (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 58-62 against the Run Line (-16.35 Units / -9.86% ROI).
- 59-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -1.8% ROI
- 53-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.3 Units / -12.33% ROI
- 63-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 3.64% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 59-60 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.1% ROI).
- 70-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.47 Units / 8.85% ROI
- 58-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.22% ROI
- 54-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.8 Units / -7.51% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .142 (30-for-211) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .134 (25-for-186) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (339/843) against Javier Assad this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OBP of just .234 (218 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .323 — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game