The Miami Marlins (+165) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-200) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Marlins are 44-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 59-59 ATS.

Marlins vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Valente Bellozo 1-1, 3.05 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-3, 5.72 ERA

Marlins vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 37 games (+41.75 Units / 113% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 36 games (+20.15 Units / 49% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 37 games (+19.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 33 games (+18.50 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+17.70 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+15.40 Units / 154% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 47 games (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+10.50 Units / 17% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 37% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 27 games (+16.75 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 53 away games (+15.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 92 games (+15.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+12.30 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games at home (+16.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 48 games at home (+16.90 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 59 of their last 101 games (+10.40 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games at home (+9.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 56-63 against the Run Line (-24.91 Units / -16.01% ROI).

• 44-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.9 Units / -13.5% ROI
• 66-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.8 Units / 9.73% ROI
• 49-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.45 Units / -17.22% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 59-59 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -1.57% ROI).

• 69-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -1.22% ROI
• 55-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -7.21% ROI
• 58-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -2.17% ROI

Phillies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Valente Bellozo has walked 3 of 18 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (6/29) against Valente Bellozo this month (2 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Valente Bellozo has a strikeout rate of 33% (6 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 4th best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 93rd Percentile.

Valente Bellozo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .133 (2 Total Bases / 15 ABs) vs left-handed batters this month (2 games) — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .400 — 95th Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Taijuan Walker has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.4 MPH this season (163 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 89.0

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .379 (22 GB hits out of 58 GBs) against Taijuan Walker this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (84/163) against Taijuan Walker this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has allowed a slugging percentage of .510 (104 Total Bases / 204 ABs) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: .404 — third Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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