The Philadelphia Phillies (-155) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+130) on Friday, August 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Phillies are 69-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 58-58 ATS.

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 11-5, 2.79 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 8-6, 4.64 ERA

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+15.40 Units / 62% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+11.00 Units / 122% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 22 games (+42.00 Units / 191% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+17.95 Units / 82% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+17.25 Units / 78% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+14.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 49% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 60 of their last 100 games (+17.50 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 98 games (+15.05 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 58 of their last 98 games (+12.05 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 97 games (+11.35 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.20 Units / 6% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 60 games (+18.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 51 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.75 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 59-56 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 1.26% ROI).

• 69-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 0.76% ROI
• 53-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -8.1% ROI
• 57-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.19% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 58-58 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -4.21% ROI).

• 63-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 4.17% ROI
• 63-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.45 Units / 5.79% ROI
• 50-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.05 Units / -15.03% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler has allowed a slugging percentage of just .222 (50 Total Bases / 225 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .202 (242 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .151 (34-for-225) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (2,220/5,199) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .558 (242 Total Bases / 434 ABs) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .404 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .332 (144-for-434) against Ryne Nelson at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .244 — first Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 37.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 70.2.

Ryne Nelson has struck out just 15% (81/541) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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