The Cleveland Guardians (+120) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-145) on Friday, August 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Guardians are 67-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 55-58 ATS.
Guardians vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Guardians vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 43 games (+42.50 Units / 99% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+18.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+11.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.75 Units / 108% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 games (+24.50 Units / 163% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 37 games (+11.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+10.05 Units / 70% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 114 games (+12.62 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 52 away games (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 59 away games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 59 away games (+7.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 48 games at home (+15.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 47 games (+14.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+8.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 93 games (+8.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.85 Units / 25% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 56-58 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.25% ROI).
- 67-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.62 Units / 8.58% ROI
- 56-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -1.15% ROI
- 52-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.5 Units / -7.61% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 55-58 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -3.6% ROI).
- 63-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.4% ROI
- 59-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.35 Units / 4.35% ROI
- 49-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.15 Units / -13.07% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (542/906) against Alex Cobb since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (122/198) against Alex Cobb when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (336/560) against Alex Cobb in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (274/472) against Alex Cobb since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (36/117) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .045 (1-for-22) against Bailey Ober in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of just .260 (47 Total Bases / 181 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .138 (25-for-181) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 100th Percentile.