The St. Louis Cardinals (+100) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Friday, August 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Cardinals are 59-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 65-51 ATS.

Cardinals vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 8-9, 5.14 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 5-6, 3.73 ERA

Cardinals vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+26.00 Units / 63% ROI)
• Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 22 games (+21.00 Units / 95% ROI)
• Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
• Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
• Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+22.60 Units / 283% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+21.70 Units / 58% ROI)
• Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+13.40 Units / 58% ROI)
• Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.15 Units / 49% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+12.15 Units / 29% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+7.80 Units / 15% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 58 away games (+6.35 Units / 9% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 away games (+3.90 Units / 9% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.20 Units / 21% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 59 games at home (+11.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 59 games at home (+10.84 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 59 games at home (+9.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 57-59 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -4.07% ROI).

• 59-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -6.25% ROI
• 55-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -5.53% ROI
• 56-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -3.63% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 65-51 against the Run Line (+6.19 Units / 3.97% ROI).

• 64-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 5.98% ROI
• 51-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.75 Units / -12.5% ROI
• 61-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 3.62% ROI

Royals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (80/529) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .591 (117 Total Bases / 198 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .555 (141 Total Bases / 254 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (159/962) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting just .153 (27-for-177) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .271 (48 Total Bases / 177 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .409 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has walked 31 of 211 left-handed batters (15%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen allowed a batting average of .287 vs right-handed batters (12th worst)– 10th Percentile and just .153 vs left-handed batters this season (best among non-qualified SPs)– 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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