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It's the rubber match between the best and worst teams in the AL East, as the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays split the first two games in this series and look to pick up a big win on Thursday before moving on to their next opponents.
Thursday's Orioles vs. Blue Jays prediction follows a 7-3 win for the road team, which sits atop the AL East alongside the New York Yankees with a 68-47 record. For their part, the Blue Jays are last in the division at a very disappointing 52-62.
The final contest in this three-game set will get underway at 7:07 p.m. ET, with Dean Kremer taking the hill for the Orioles against Toronto's Kevin Gausman at Rogers Centre.
Can Kremer and the O's silence the Blue Jays' bats again, or will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Co. earn the series win before welcoming the Oakland Athletics to town?
Let's head to ou r best sports betting sites to find some tasty player props for this showdown!
Orioles vs. Blue Jays player props
MLB odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Dean Kremer Under 5.5 hits (+120 via Betway) ????
- George Springer Under 1.5 total bases (-120 via Betway) ???
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 strikeouts (+110 via Betway) ???
Orioles vs. Blue Jays expert picks
MLB picks made Thursday at 8 a.m. ET.
Kremer has allowed fewer than six hits in 10 of his 15 starts this season, and despite giving up more than five in each of his last two appearances, his batting average against is still .221 for the season. That puts him top 25 league-wide among pitchers with at least 80 innings.
His projections on Thursday suggest he should continue to suppress base hits at a similar rate against the Blue Jays. Based on a projection of 5.37 hits allowed, we're getting great value through these +120 odds at Betway, which are the best across any of our best sports betting apps.
Best odds: +120 via Betway | Implied probability: 45.45%
There was a brief period there when it appeared Springer might make something of this season. However, he still stinks. Springer has just a .502 OPS during the last two weeks and is just 1-for-9 in this series.
Springer is projected to have another poor showing on Thursday, and the 54.55% implied probability associated with these -120 odds is likely far too generous based on the data. We're getting roughly 18.32% positive expected value at this price, which serves as a reminder that you shouldn't be scared off by minus-money odds.
Best odds: -120 via Betway | Implied probability: 54.55%
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Nearly the only player worth anything at the plate for the Blue Jays is Guerrero, as he serves as one of three hitters on the team with a wRC+ above league average. And to be fair to Guerrero, his is way above league average, as he's really turned his season around since cutting his hair.
Additionally, Guerrero is rarely striking out these days, taking the dreaded walk of shame to the dugout in just 9.8% of plate appearances since July 1. So, why are we betting on him to be sat down on strikes on Thursday?
Well, that's where the value is. Guerrero's strikeout projection is still only 0.78, but we're getting great value through these +110 odds, the longest at any of our best sportsbooks.
Best odds: +110 via Betway | Implied probability: 47.62%
Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds & game info
- When: Thursda y, Aug. 8
- First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET
- Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto
- How to watch: MASN, Sportsnet
- Favorite: Orioles (-115 via Betway)
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