The Baltimore Orioles (-115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-105) on Thursday, August 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Orioles are 68-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 52-62 ATS.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 4-8, 4.34 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 9-8, 4.58 ERA

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 46 games (+32.90 Units / 72% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+18.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+18.00 Units / 73% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+14.25 Units / 89% ROI)
• Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 39 games (+43.85 Units / 112% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+14.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 39 games (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+10.10 Units / 19% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.20 Units / 46% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+17.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 106 games (+14.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 100 games (+11.60 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 away games (+8.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 away games (+4.95 Units / 11% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 44 games (+22.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+4.75 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.45 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 68% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 61-54 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 10.94% ROI).

• 68-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 2.09% ROI
• 64-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.55 Units / 16.48% ROI
• 40-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.8 Units / -24.42% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 52-62 against the Run Line (-21.9 Units / -14.19% ROI).

• 52-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.15 Units / -11.43% ROI
• 62-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 6.39% ROI
• 49-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.55 Units / -15.56% ROI

Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dean Kremer has thrown his changeup for a strike just 51% (181/358) of the time since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 42% (130/309) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.

Dean Kremer has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 57% (1,024/1,790) of the time since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 62% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (8/53) against Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kevin Gausman allowed a batting average of .381 vs right-handed batters (third worst)– fourth Percentile and just .133 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (419/816) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (1,000/1,315) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has allowed a .857 SLG vs right-handed batters (worst)– first Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (third best among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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