The Cincinnati Reds (-175) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+145) on Thursday, August 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Reds are 55-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 54-61 ATS.
Reds vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 8-4, 2.83 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Kyle Tyler 0-2, 5.34 ERA
Reds vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Reds vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 63.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 27 games (+22.60 Units / 84% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+15.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Over in 14 of his last 23 away games (+14.60 Units / 63% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+10.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Hunter Greene has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.30 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 33 games (+28.85 Units / 87% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+18.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+17.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+17.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+16.05 Units / 32% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 96 games (+10.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 98 games (+8.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+7.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+6.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 59 games at home (+23.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 23 games (+12.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+8.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 110 games (+7.65 Units / 6% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 63-51 against the Run Line (+6.2 Units / 4.12% ROI).
- 55-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -4.59% ROI
- 52-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -9.21% ROI
- 57-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -0.48% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 54-61 against the Run Line (-24.36 Units / -16.13% ROI).
- 43-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.6 Units / -12.87% ROI
- 63-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.8 Units / 7.73% ROI
- 49-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.35 Units / -15.33% ROI
Marlins vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Marlins vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Marlins vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Hunter Greene (CIN) | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -130 |
Kyle Tyler (MIA) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
58% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .182 (83-for-455) against Hunter Greene this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 97th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of just .297 (135 Total Bases / 455 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .391 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of just .289 (65 Total Bases / 225 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .405 — 95th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Tyler has limited playing time.